2000-2001 FLORIDA WINTER WEATHER OUTLOOK ARCHIVE


There are many signs that the upcoming winter season will be colder and wetter then normal in the eastern U.S., especially the mid Atlantic and New England regions and consequently warmer out west. I will however avoid some meteorological buzz words like -NAO, etc. which cause many eyes to glaze over.

This upcoming winter season will certainly be colder, as at the very least we will return to a more normal pattern, as compared to the recent warmer then normal El Nino winters of 1997-98 and La Nina winters of 1998-99 and 1999-2000.

Across the country as a whole we should see slightly warmer and drier conditions in the Rocky Mountains, southwest and southern plains, near normal temperature and precipitation in the Pacific northwest and central coast regions and colder and wetter in the eastern 2/3's of the U.S., especially New England and the Mid Atlantic region.

It appears that Florida will face the worst potential freeze threat since the winter of 1995-96.



OCTOBER 2000 OUTLOOK


North Florida will see near to slightly below normal temperature and slightly below normal precipitation.

Central Florida will see near to slightly below normal temperature and slightly above normal precipitation.

October 2000 Plant City-
Mean Max 82.9 -3.1 Deg
Mean Min 61.7 -1.7 Deg
Mean Mo. 72.3 -2.4 Deg
Precip. .06" -2.25"

South Florida will see near normal temperature and slightly above normal precipitation.

NOVEMBER 2000 30 DAY OUTLOOK


North Florida will see slightly below normal temperature. Precipitation will be near normal.

Central Florida will see near normal temperature. Precipitation will be slightly below normal.

November 2000 Plant City-
Mean Max 76.0 -3.8 Deg
Mean Min 52.4 -3.4 Deg
Mean Mo. 64.2 -3.6 Deg
Precip. 1.46" -0.64"

South Florida will see slighly above normal temperature. Precipitation will be slightly below normal.

DECEMBER 2000 WEATHER OUTLOOK


December will have slightly below to below normal temperature. Precipitation will be near normal.

December 2000 Plant City-
Mean Max 69.7 -5.2 Deg
Mean Min 47.8 -2.5 Deg
Mean Mo. 58.8 -3.8 Deg
Precip. 2.73" +0.40"

JANUARY 2001 WEATHER OUTLOOK


January will have below normal temperature. Precipitation will be near normal.

January 2001 Plant City-
Mean Max 67.2 -6.0 Deg
Mean Min 38.3 -10.0 Deg
Mean Mo. 52.8 -7.9 Deg
Precip. 2.06" -0.41"

FEBRUARY 2001 WEATHER OUTLOOK


February will have slightly below normal temperature. Precipitation will be near normal.

February 2001 Plant City-
Mean Max 77.8 +3.2 Deg
Mean Min 55.7 +6.2 Deg
Mean Mo. 66.8 +4.8 Deg
Precip. 1.17" -2.31"

MARCH 2001 WEATHER OUTLOOK


March will have near normal temperature. Precipitation will be near normal.

March 2001 Plant City-
Mean Max 75.5 -4.3 Deg
Mean Min 53.9 -0.7 Deg
Mean Mo. 64.7 -2.5 Deg
Precip. 8.62" +5.17"


CLIMATE AVERAGES


Tallahassee Winter Normals

All Time State Coldest Temperature On Record -2 Deg F On 2/13/1899 In Tallahassee. Other Unofficial Readings As Low As -6 Occured Near Caryville on 1/21/85. The Official Heaviest 24 Hour Measured Snowfall Is 4.0" In Numerous Locations. However 6-10" Fell North Of Pensacola In February 1973 And Again In March 1993. 5" Of Snow Was Measured North Of Jacksonville In The 1800's. 

     

  • Month   Mean     Mean     Mean     Month 

  •         Min      Max      Month   Precip 

  • Jan     38.4     62.8     50.6     4.77   

  • Feb     40.3     66.1     53.2     5.52 

  • Mar     46.9     73.4     60.2     6.21 

  • Oct     55.7     81.2     68.4     2.92 

  • Nov     46.3     72.8     59.6     3.87 

  • Dec     40.5     65.8     53.1     5.03
Coldest Early Morning Minimum Temperatures Of The 20th Century 1/21/85

Near Caryville -6 (That's Below Zero)
Chipley 2
Defuniak Springs 3
Jasper, Monticello, Quincy 4
Madison, Pensacola 5
Live Oak, Tallahassee 6
Jacksonville, Lake City, Perry 7
Crestview 8
Apalachicola 9


Coldest Maximum Temperatures Of The 20th Century on 12/24/89.

These Readings Were Taken At 12:00 am. By Early Afternoon Temperatures Dropped Into The Mid And Upper Teen's With Snowflakes Flying. A Daytime Temperature In The Teen's Had Not Been Seen Across The North Since 1899.

Jasper 23
Defuniak Springs 24
Crestview, Pensacola 25
Chipley 26
Glen St. Mary 27
Quincy 28
Tallahassee 29
Hastings, Jacksonville 30
Monticello 31
Apalachicola, Live Oak 32


Orlando Winter Normals

All Time Coldest Temperature On Record 18 Deg F 
 
































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































     

  • Month   Mean     Mean     Mean       Month

  •         Min      Max     Month      Precip

  • Jan     47.3     70.2     58.7       2.32 

  • Feb     50.6     73.5     62.0       2.38 

  • Mar     55.8     78.7     67.3       3.36 

  • Oct     65.4     84.8     75.1       2.00 

  • Nov     58.5     79.0     68.8       2.56 

  • Dec     51.7     72.9     62.3       2.18


Coldest Maximum Temperatures Of The 20th Century 12/24/89

These Readings Were Taken At 12:00 am. By Early Afternoon Temperatures Dropped Into The Mid And Upper 20's With Snowflakes Flying. A Daytime Temperature In The 20's Had Not Been Seen On The Central Peninsula Since 1899.

Bushnell, Weeki Wachee 32
Dade City, Daytona Beach 33
Inverness 34
Brooksville, Deland, Lisbon 35
Ocala, Orlando 36
Plant City 37
Tampa 38
Lake Alfred 39

The following hourly readings were taken by me in rural Sumter County, Fl. 10 miles west of Bushnell during Christmas 1989. The temperature stayed below 32 deg. for 58 consecutive hours on December 23-25th 1989. The month mean minimum temperature averaged 32.8 deg, 14.6 deg. below normal, with 17 mornings below 32 deg. 

    

  • 23rd

  • 12a 28 zr     1p 28 s

  •  1a 28 zr     2p 27 s

  •  2a 28 zr     3p 26 s

  •  3a 28 zr     4p 26 s

  •  4a 28 zr     5p 25 s

  •  5a 28 zr     6p 24 s

  •  6a 28 zr     7p 24 s

  •  7a 28 zr     8p 24 s

  •  8a 28 zr     9p 23 s

  •  9a 28 zr    10p 22 s

  • 10a 26 zr/ip 11p 21 s

  • 11a 28 s

  • 12p 28 s

  • 
 
  • 
 
  • 24th

  • 12a 21 s      1p 30

  •  1a 20 s      2p 32

  •  2a 19        3p 32

  •  3a 18        4p 32

  •  4a 17        5p 32

  •  5a 16        6p 28

  •  6a 16        7p 24

  •  7a 16        8p 23

  •  8a 17        9p 21

  •  9a 19       10p 19

  • 10a 22       11p 17

  • 11a 25

  • 12p 27

  • 
 
  • 
 
  • 25th

  • 12a 14      

  •  1a 13      

  •  2a 12        

  •  3a 10        

  •  4a 9        

  •  5a 8        

  •  6a 8        

  •  7a 8        

  •  8a 15        

  •  9a 24       

  • 10a 32


The Coldest Minimum Temperature Observed On The Central Peninsula In The 20th Century Is 0 deg., Observed In Ridge Manor In Hernando County on January 21,1985. Readings Of 4 Deg. In Dade City and 9 Deg. In Plant City Were Observed On The Same Day.


Ft. Myers Winter Normals

All Time Coldest Temperature On Record 24 Deg F 

     

  • Month   Mean     Mean     Mean     Month

  •        Min       Max       Month   Precip

  • Jan     53.2     74.4     63.8       1.84 

  • Feb     54.1     75.5     64.8       2.23 

  • Mar     58.7     80.0     69.3       3.07 

  • Oct     68.5     86.0     77.2       2.94 

  • Nov     60.9     80.7     70.8       1.57 

  • Dec     55.0     76.0     65.5       1.58